IoT developers

For Uber and Waymo’s Initiatives to Thrive, IoT Needs 4.5 Million Developers by 2020

IoT Developers

Imagine it’s December, 2016, and you’re Uber boss Travis Kalanick. One of your self-driving Volvos in SF just ran a red light in front of the MOMA. You’re fuming. There was a human behind the wheel of that car. This red light fiasco was human error, you insist. Even if it wasn’t, that’s what your company will tell the press.

The human error excuse marks what looks like the beginning (or continuation) of a downward spiral for Mr. Kalanick and Co. What he may not realize–something a few engineers in a backroom might have whispered about, but they had their orders–is just how hard it is for a self-driving car to work without a working Internet of Things. Uber is bent on domination of the self-driving cab market, and Uber’s mission is global. But for this to work on a global level, the IoT will need 4.5 million developers by 2020 to support major urban growth. There are only around 300,000 such developers in action right now.

Automation

For one, an automated car wouldn’t run a red light if the light were to send it a signal. Although actualizing it is very complex, the IoT is based on this basic concept. If objects are connected and can talk to each other, an automated car (or even an automated meter maid) can do its job precisely based on the input from a network of connected devices.

This isn’t to say automated cars don’t work right now. To a limited extent, they’re already working. It’s just to say they would work better with an IoT infrastructure in place. Why has Google taken so long to roll out its driverless cars? Because Google knows onboard sensors and GPS can only do so much when it comes to navigating a complex urban environment.

Waymo, the company now handling driverless for Google, put self-driving minivans on the road in January that are “way safe”–the “disengagement rate” for these vehicles, which is the incident rate, has fallen from 0.8 disengagements per thousand miles to 0.2. Yet, according to one blogger who took a test ride, “[Waymo’s minivans] still aren't ready for the real world. They can't drive in the snow or heavy rain, and there's a variety of complex situations they do not process well, such as passing through a construction zone.”

Connected sensors in cones, vehicles, and worker helmets (or automated workers) could help Waymo vehicles process a complex construction zone situation. But when it comes to developments that all play into the IoT, companies are more interested in a more immediate ROI. Security and complexity also play big roles in the lack of immediate adoption.

IoT Predictions

At the end of 2016, some senior tech executives graced Forbes with IoT predictions for 2017. Cazena (which offers Big Data as a service) CEO Prat Moghe says the IoT is a big buzzword and it won’t become much more than that because of the plague of complexity. From a developer standpoint, it’s already tough enough to account for all the screen sizes when putting together a mobile app. “The landscape is just too complex right now,” says AJ, a Senior Business Analyst with Appnovation, “and with the Internet of Things in our future, I don’t see it becoming any less complex.”

Rob Juncker, VP of Engineering for LANDESK, thinks an incident similar to the Dyn DDoS attack will happen again. A lack of security doesn’t say a lot for the IoT’s commercial viability. Chad Bacher, Webroot’s Senior VP of Product Strategy & Technology Alliances, goes one further and says IoT devices will become susceptible to ransomware. That has already happened. At the DEFCON 24 security conference in Vegas, white hat hackers held an IoT thermostat up for ransom and demanded 300 bitcoins for its release. It was a demonstration to prove weakness.

The only good news appears to be in the job market. One tech executive predicts “IoT Supervisors” will ascend into the corporate ranks. Another says the IoT “Architect” role will become the “most valuable unicorn for HR departments”. Finally, Zach Supalla, from IoT-enabling company Particle, says 2017 will be a year for companies to build their teams.

In order for 4.5 million IoT developers to hit the streets by 2020, companies and governments are going to have to start building their teams something fierce. Complexity and security issues, as well as ROI of devices, will be the main challenges for these teams. It may not happen as soon as 2020, but once developers overcome the big issues, expect big-ticket items, such as automated cars, to really take off.

By Daniel Matthews

Daniel Matthews

Daniel Matthews is a freelance writer from Boise, ID. Daniel received his Bachelor’s in English from Boise State University in 2006, and is currently working on a book about the 2008 financial crisis. Widely-published online, he specializes in research and analysis that sheds light on the intersection of tech, business, and current affairs. Daniel is an avid writer and technology enthusiast whose mission is to bring journalistic integrity and informed opinions to his audience in ways that make them think differently about the world. You can find him on Twitter and LinkedIn.

View Website

CONTRIBUTORS

AWS S3 Outage & Lessons in Tech Responsibility From Smokey the Bear

AWS S3 Outage & Lessons in Tech Responsibility From Smokey the Bear

AWS S3 Outage & Lessons in Tech Responsibility Earlier this week, AWS S3 had to fight its way back to ...
The Good, Bad, and Downright Ugly Takeaways from WikiLeaks’ Vault 7

The Good, Bad, and Downright Ugly Takeaways from WikiLeaks’ Vault 7

WikiLeaks’ Vault 7 If you haven’t heard of the Vault 7 WikiLeaks data dump, you’ve probably been living under a ...
Safeguarding Data Before Disaster Strikes

Safeguarding Data Before Disaster Strikes

Safeguarding Data  Online data backup is one of the best methods for businesses of all sizes to replicate their data ...
Cloud-Based or On-Premise ERP Deployment? Find Out

Cloud-Based or On-Premise ERP Deployment? Find Out

ERP Deployment You know how ERP deployment can improve processes within your supply chain, and the things to keep in ...
What Futuristic Transportation Will Look Like In Your Lifetime

What Futuristic Transportation Will Look Like In Your Lifetime

Futuristic Transportation Being stuck in traffic or late for work because of a hold up on the dreaded commute could ...
What You Need To Know About Choosing A Cloud Service Provider

What You Need To Know About Choosing A Cloud Service Provider

Selecting The Right Cloud Services Provider How to find the right partner for cloud adoption on an enterprise scale The ...
Chris Gerva

Why Containers Can’t Solve All Your Problems In The Cloud

Containers and the cloud Docker and other container services are appealing for a good reason - they are lightweight and ...
Principles of an Effective Cybersecurity Strategy

Principles of an Effective Cybersecurity Strategy

Effective Cybersecurity Strategy A number of trends contribute to today’s reality in which businesses can no longer treat cybersecurity as ...
Financial Management Finds a Welcome Home in the Cloud

Financial Management Finds a Welcome Home in the Cloud

Cloud Based Financial Management The most cautious person in any organization is likely to be the CFO. After all, they’re ...
Battle of the Clouds: Multi-Instance vs. Multi-Tenant Architecture

Battle of the Clouds: Multi-Instance vs. Multi-Tenant Architecture

Multi-Instance vs. Multi-Tenant Architecture  The cloud is part of everything we do. It’s always there backing up our data, pictures, ...

NEWS

Deloitte TMT Predictions: Machine Learning Deployments, On-Demand Content and Live Events Will Continue to Drive Growth

Deloitte TMT Predictions: Machine Learning Deployments, On-Demand Content and Live Events Will Continue to Drive Growth

NEW YORK, Dec. 12, 2017 /PRNewswire/ -- Deloitte forecasts double digital growth in machine learning deployments for the enterprise, an increasing worldwide ...
email as a service

Google Data Analysis, Artificial Intelligence and Predicting Vaccine Scares

Social media trends can predict tipping points in vaccine scares Analyzing trends on Twitter and Google can help predict vaccine ...
Hackers shut down infrastructure safety system in attack: FireEye

Hackers shut down infrastructure safety system in attack: FireEye

Hackers shut down infrastructure safety system (Reuters) - Hackers likely working for a nation-state recently penetrated the safety system of ...